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The Tea Leaves of Business Strategy: Financial Modeling

Ben Paramore's picture
Posted by Ben Paramore (Chief Financial Officer), May 16, 2010, 13:20 PM (view user's blog)

Challenge strategy by showing the potential results of the strategic actions.

Strategy drives the direction of a business. Many business leaders confuse what strategy is and others are just simply not good at it. But whether your company is good at it or not, strategy is just theoretical ideas until it is put to numbers. A good financial leader is able to determine the viability of a strategic direction, not by feelings or opinions about the ideas, but by numerical evidence. Challenge strategy by showing the potential results of the strategic actions. The way this is accomplished is through financial modeling that projects future results based on a given set of circumstances. A static business can get by without modeling, but it is a necessity in a dynamic business where critical decisions need to be made regularly. You must have a model that changes future results based on changes in business variables and use it to challenge strategic decisions. The financial model is the tea leaves of business strategy. It should be your regular tool for communicating where your business is going. Look forward and point the way.

Comments

Mark Von Der Linn's picture

I Couldn't Agree More

Besides probably being my favorite activity as an analyst (building and running models), I can't agree enough re. their importance. And absolutely essential is structuring the model to reflect reality and above all, input of proper assumptions/variables. Otherwise it's garbage in, garbage out. I'm curious if most of you build your own models or use something off the shelf?

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John Kogan's picture

I build my own nowadays. When

I build my own nowadays. When I was at Cisco and AlliedSignal we used modeling software but I found their lack of flexibility frustrating. Of course models are impossible to roll up if you give too much flexibility to the user so I can see why the bigger companies constrain you that way. Of course they are asking their finance professionals to "assume away" any variables that are not accounted for in the corporate model, which is not a great assumption to make, but I'm sure it makes their jobs easier.

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